Posts Tagged as Real Estate Market Reports

Experts Predict a Strong Job Market and Low Mortgage Rates Will Fuel 2020’s Housing Market

Heading into 2020, a strong job market and low mortgage rates should bode well for the housing market. But thanks to a shortage of inventory and new listings, the positive real estate trends may turn out to be a mixed blessing.

Golden Age of Home Buying?

Unemployment and interest rates are both at their lowest levels in years. While widespread economic uncertainty in 2019 seemed likely to push mortgage rates north of 5 percent, rates actually declined to an average below 4 percent. In contrast, at the turn of the millennium mortgage rates were averaging 8.5 percent.

The National Association of Realtors Makes Their Predictions

According to the National Association of Realtors, mortgage rates are expected to remain low during the year. NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun says 30-year fixed mortgages will stay below 4 percent and finish the year around 3.8 percent.

Increases in new-home sales are projected to hit a 13-year high of 11 percent, but supply of existing homes will continue to be tight, resulting in a more modest 4 percent increase. Yun calls this a “healthy development for potential home buyers,” as prices will remain relatively affordable.

Despite the optimistic outlook, Yun does offer a word of caution. Increases in economic activity and inflation may trigger a corresponding rise in interest rates.

Real Estate Experts Weigh In

Other experts tend to agree with NAR’s outlook. Realtor.com and Redfin both anticipate tight inventory in the face of strong demand. As a result, the biggest challenge facing buyers will be finding homes, not affordability. In terms of mortgage rates, Bankrate.com chief financial analyst Greg McBride also sees them holding steady at or slightly below 4 percent.

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Fall 2019 May Be a Better Time for Listings and Sale Than the Projections for 2020

Fall 2019 May Be a Better Time for Listings and Sale Than the Projections for 2020

2019 is not expected to continue the trend of high-flying home prices and rapid sales. Despite this, real estate selling experts indicate that 2019 is the best time to list a home. What gives? The remaining months are predicted to be a better market than 2020-21. For those on the fence weighing the option to sell, it could be unwise to play the waiting game.

Why is 2019 Expected to Be Better for Real Estate Selling?

• New buyers are still venturing into the market.

The affordability factor has weighed down the market. There will be no flood of buyers this year – more like a steady trickle. This will slow home price increases and extend listing times. Although housing inventory remains low, particularly in the starter-home market, high-traffic shopping will continue.

The largest segment of buyers is expected to be Millennials. In a recent Trulia poll, one-fifth of Millennials anticipate purchasing a home in 2019. 

• Interest Rates Remain Low

2019 has not seen the multiple rate hikes anticipated. More recently, lowered interest rates have brought the 30-year fixed rate down to around 3.58%. Even if a raise were to occur, rates will probably remain near their historical lows. With no sudden leaps anticipated, now is a great time for buyers to lock-in low rates.

• Equity Cash-In

For sellers holding a home they purchased during or shortly after the recession, there’s a lot of equity at stake. The more equity in the home, the higher the net from the sale that can be used toward a down payment on another house. The greater the down payment, the lower the interest rate, reducing monthly payments and the need for PMI.

Don’t miss out on prime sales opportunities. Ensure maximum return-on-investment with real estate selling tips and tools from Properties Online today.

Time to Get Listed for the Season

Forbes Article Writer Predicts No Housing Recession in 2019

Stressing out over recent real estate selling trends pointing to a housing recession on the horizon? Not everyone is on board with that assessment, including Forbes article contributor Lawrence Yun. Despite existing home sales falling 2%, falling nearly every month of 2018, and a 12% decline in housing starts (typically an indicator of a recession), Yun does not see the possibility of a downturn on the horizon.

A Difference of Opinion

Yun sees incorrect conclusions being drawn from these statistics. He notes that rather than a demand shortage, as seen at the depths of the 2008 housing recession in which an oversupply of 12 months of inventory was on the market, today it’s quite the opposite.

Real estate selling trends showcase a shortage of inventory. It would take just 4.3 months to exhaust current supplies, as compared to a balanced market of 6-7-months of inventory. Homes continue to be pocketed at a swift pace, spending very little time on the market (about 26-days in June).

Bidding wars are still alive and well. Demand is there. Supply is not. ‘A problem much better to have,’ denotes Yun, who believes muted growth points to neither a price decline nor a looming foreclosure crisis.

Making Sense of Muted Growth

So what does he believe 2018’s muted growth points to? The affordability crisis. As a lack of inventory drives prices up, especially in hot markets, buyers are increasingly being priced out of home ownership. Until more homes are built to meet entry-level housing needs, prices will continue to climb.

The 1.3 million housing starts projected in 2019 will be insufficient to moderate prices and support sales. Skilled labor shortages, tariffs, crippling impact fees, and laborious permitting processes don’t help. Yun sees this as a far cry from the overbuilding and overzealous lending practices pre-bubble.

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Market Watch: Updated 2018 Changes to Buyer Demographics

Market Watch: Updated 2018 Changes to Buyer Demographics

Following an exciting 2017 buying season, real estate trends point to a few changes on the horizon. What will 2018 have in store?

Changes Predicted for the 2018 Home Buying Season
Stay on your toes and be on the lookout for these changing real estate trends:

– Baby Boomers Finally Ready to Downsize

Baby boomers are finally letting go of larger traditional and colonial-style homes, and are ready to downsize in retirement. What are they looking for? A smaller footprint and single-story living, so they won’t have to navigate perilous stairways as they age. How does this translate into the market? Rising demand is expected to push up the prices of single-story dwellings.

– Millennials Compromising on the Suburbs

Though many millennials have their sights set on urban life and activity, millennial buyers, who could make up 43% of the home buying market by the close of 2018, are prioritizing affordability and quality of life – a shift which is pushing this segment out into the suburbs. Last year, the undeniable shortage of entry-level homes posed a huge hurdle for this group, the nation’s largest buyer segment.

– Post-Bubble Foreclosure Sufferers Re-Entering the Market

The more than 10-million Americans forced into foreclosure during the Great Recession have put in their 7-year, foreclosure law penance. Sick of renting and itching to re-enter the market, how many will become eligible in 2018? Around a whopping 1.5 million Americans according to the National Center for Policy Analysis, adding pressure to an already strained supply of home inventory.

Still a Seller’s Market

As buyer demand remains strong in the current year, home prices will continue to soar. This will continue to add to the stresses of first time buyers, foreclosure sufferers, and cash-strapped retirees, struggling with a lack of affordable home options and a dearth of down payment cash.

How will changing real estate trends effect your business? Stay in-the-know with the help of Properties Online.

Shutting Down the Money - Chinese Real Estate Investments Dry Up

Shutting Down the Money – Chinese Real Estate Investments Dry Up

In surprising real estate trends, China’s investments in the U.S. real estate market are speedily drying up. A recent Cushman and Wakefield report highlighted the trend, noting a drop from $16.2-billion to $7.3-billion in 2016, and estimating a 55% drop in commercial real estate investments in 2017.

Why are Times Changing?
The unusually hasty retreat has been fueled by at least two factors:

Beijing’s Leaders Restricting the Flow of Cash Out of the Country
In August, China’s State Council imposed new regulations on outbound investments designed to keep capital at home and reduce the risk of runaway debt. With a massive impact on real estate trends, the move highlights the potentially dramatic effects of state-directed capitalism. Ordered by the government to sell or dispose of foreign properties, investors from state-controlled conglomerates are selling rapidly after acquisition – in some cases, before building.

Federal EB-5 Program Funding Drops, Limiting Green Card Access
The federal EB-5 program, which allows foreigners to apply for U.S. citizenship in exchange for investing $500,000 or more in a business that makes or preserves at least 10 jobs, is losing fuel. With a huge drop-off in funding, EB-5 cash from China has dropped to just 28% of its normal flow compared to the three preceding years. In the past, the millions of dollars raised in the green card program have funded major projects, including the Courtyard Los Angeles L.A. Live and the Dream Hotel complex in Hollywood.

Big Picture
Though the drop is dramatic, Cushman and Wakefield still predict Chinese capital will continue to play a significant role in the U.S. economy. Despite pulling back on new purchases, Chinese investors are not jumping ship, and are still buying more than they’re selling. However a shift is being seen, from state-controlled conglomerates to very high net worth individuals.

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